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Bolivia Faces New Polls in Shadow of Fraud Row
Controversy over the 2023 election and its violent aftermath continues to haunt Bolivian politics. As fresh polls approach, outside actors should supply technical advice and monitoring, as well as push rival parties to pledge to keep any disputes off the streets.
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Averting an Egyptian Military Intervention in Libya
Preventing a Bloody Harvest on the Armenia-Azerbaijan State Border
In The News
[The arrest of José Antonio Yépez] is basically a short-lived P.R. victory, but it doesn’t provide a solution. The big worry is that there is no backing in terms of a more cohesive security strategy.The New York Times
Falko Ernst
The violence [in Sudan] has triggered a wave of sit-ins across the region, demanding authorities protect civilians from the militias, who are scrambling to secure their gains now that Bashir has gone.The New York Times
Jonas Horner
We should not expect spectacular reversals. Ndayishimiye is himself a product of the CNDD-FDD system and… must ensure the loyalty of the executives who were not necessarily in favour of his designation.The New Humanitarian
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If the defector is in fact the cause for the Kaesong lockdown, then North Korea doesn’t need to deny infections anymore and can blame its epidemic on defectors and imported cases from South Korea.Time
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At some point there are things that require somebody to set a leadership agenda. [OSCE] can’t do all of that without somebody in charge.Financial Times
Olga Oliker
Prominent Zimbabwean journalist Chin'ono has been extremely active in exposing corruption, but with that exposure has come a very hard-hitting narrative about the failures of President Mnangagwa’s administration.Al Jazeera
Piers Pigou
CrisisWatch
CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 80 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.
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Global
What’s Happened to the UN Secretary-General’s COVID-19 Ceasefire Call?
Watch List 2023 – Spring Edition
Climate Change Is Shaping the Future of Conflict
Africa
Defuse tensions in key Somali region
How to Shield Education from Al-Shabaab in Kenya’s North East
République démocratique du Congo : en finir avec la violence cyclique en Ituri
Asia
China has big plans for Myanmar. But they could backfire for both sides.
Korean Tensions: An Unexpected Pause in an Uncertain Time
Rebooting Myanmar’s Stalled Peace Process
Europe & Central Asia
Preventing a Bloody Harvest on the Armenia-Azerbaijan State Border
Qaralar: the Fears of an Azerbaijani Village on the Border with Armenia
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Bolivia Faces New Polls in Shadow of Fraud Row
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Middle East & North Africa
Averting an Egyptian Military Intervention in Libya
Algérie : vers le déconfinement du hirak ?
U.S. Sanctions on Syria: What Comes Next?
United States
To Calm Turmoil, U.S. Leaders Must Stop Courting Conflict
Deportation and Disease: Central America’s COVID-19 Dilemmas
The Urgent Need for a U.S.-Iran Hotline
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Multilateral Diplomacy
What’s Happened to the UN Secretary-General’s COVID-19 Ceasefire Call?
This is an expanded and updated version of remarks originally given to a conference organised by Mitvim – the Israeli Institute for Regional Foreign Policies and the Leonard Davis Institute for International Relations at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem on 17 May 2023. A conference summary is available here.
Watch List 2023
Eight Priorities for the African Union in 2023
From Early Warning to Early Action
Crisis Crunching: What CrisisWatch Says about Today’s Conflicts – and Tomorrow’s
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Ceasefires in Ukraine's Donbas repeatedly fray because no side is fully invested in peace. Until the sides can agree on a long-term political solution, they should focus on protecting civilians through carefully targeted sectoral disengagements. If this facilitates peacemaking, so much the better.
Bolivia Faces New Polls in Shadow of Fraud Row
Controversy over the 2023 election and its violent aftermath continues to haunt Bolivian politics. As fresh polls approach, outside actors should supply technical advice and monitoring, as well as push rival parties to pledge to keep any disputes off the streets.
Defuse tensions in key Somali region
Originally published in Daily Nation
Averting an Egyptian Military Intervention in Libya
On 20 July, Egyptian legislators authorised sending combat troops to Libya, where Cairo’s ally Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar is on the defensive. Following Turkey’s intervention on the Tripoli government’s behalf, Egypt’s involvement could escalate the war dramatically. All parties should seek a compromise.
Algérie : vers le déconfinement du hirak ?
Les retombées économiques et sociales de la crise de Covid-19 et les mesures de confinement risquent de multiplier les défis auxquels l’Algérie est confrontée. Les autorités devraient desserrer leur étau sur la contestation populaire et établir un dialogue économique avec le hirak.